ANALYZING CREDIT AND EQUITY LINKAGE WITHIN A DYNAMIC CAUSALITY PARADIGM
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.64105/jbmr.04.03.498Abstract
This paper looks upon a potential causal connection between credit and equity markets for the period 1985-2023. In particular, we aim to check how corporate credit spread and S&P 500 index evolved during bullish and bearish trends and how this connection is linked to overall economic uncertainty. In our pursuit, we utilize a recently developed dynamic causality framework. Our results suggest that during the bear market, the interaction between corporate bonds and the stock market changed significantly.
Keywords: credit, equity, S&P 500, economic uncertainty, dynamic causality
